Analysis-Abundant lower-quality Asian wheat supplies to fill corn shortage
Combined wheat production from India and Australia, the second-and
fifth-largest wheat growers, respectively, will top 143 million tonnes in the
2021-22 season, more than 20 million tonnes above the yearly average from the
two from 2015 to 2020, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
estimates.
As a result, their exports are expected to surge to a record
32.5 million tonnes this season, more than twice the average annual volume for
the same period.
While much of these exports will be of food-grade quality, a
majority of Indian shipments and as much as a third of Australian exports will
be suitable for use as animal feed across Asia, the world's largest market for
livestock grains.
"There is strong demand for Australian wheat. We have
shipping slots all taken right up to May," said Ole Houe, director of
advisory services at agriculture brokerage IKON Commodities in Sydney.
"A lot of it is going into the feed market."
South Korea has snapped up roughly 400,000 tonnes of
new-crop Indian wheat last week, while the Philippines and other importers in
Southeast Asia have been taking Australian wheat.
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